Krasnoyarova Bella Aleksandrovna, Doctor of Sciences (Geography), Professor, Chief Research Scientist, Institute for Water and Environmental Problems SB RAS, 1, Molodezhnaya st., Barnaul, 656038, Russian Federation, e-mail: bella@iwep.ru

Nazarenko Anton Evgenievich, Candidate of Sciences (Geography), Junior Research Scientist, Institute for Water and Environmental Problems SB RAS, 1, Molodezhnaya st., Barnaul, 656038, Russian Federation, e-mail: harret1992@mail.ru

Plutalova Tatyana Gennadievna, Candidate of Sciences (Geography), Research Scientist, Institute for Water and Environmental Problems SB RAS, 1, Molodezhnaya st., Barnaul, 656038, Russian Federation, e-mail: plutalova.tg@gmail.com

Sharabarina Sofya Nikolaevna, Candidate of Geographical Sciences, Research Scientist, Institute for Water and Environmental Problems SB RAS, 1, Molodezhnaya st., Barnaul, 656038, Russian Federation, e-mail: sharabarinasof@gmail.com

Baryshnikov Sergey Gennadievich, Postgrduate, Institute for Water and Environmental Problems SB RAS, 1, Molodezhnaya st., Barnaul, 656038, Russian Federation, e-mail: sbaryshnikov18@gmail.com

Krasnoyarova B.A., Nazarenko A.E., Plutalova T.G., Sharabarina S.N., Baryshnikov S.G. Assessing the Vulnerability of Agrarian-Oriented Natural Economic Systems. The Bulletin of Irkutsk State University. Series Earth Sciences, 2024, vol. 49, pp. 72-87. https://doi.org/10.26516/2073-3402.2024.49.72 (in Russian)

Askarova M.A., Medeu A.A., Medeu A., Musagalieva A.N. Adaptivnaya model vliyaniya izmeneniya klimata na prirodno-khozyaistvennye sistemy Kazakhstana [Adaptive model of the climate change impact on the natural and economic systems of Kazakhstan]. Khabarshy. Geografiya seriyasy [Journal of Geography and Environmental Management], 2021, vol. 1, no. 60, pp. 52-60. (in Russian)

Badina S.V. Kolichestvennaya otsenka uyazvimosti sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo potentsiala rossiiskoi Arktiki v zone degradatsii vechnoi merzloty [Quantitative assessment of the vulnerability of the socio-economic potential of the Russian Arctic in the permafrost degradation zone]. Regionalnye issledovaniya [Regional studies], 2017, vol. 3, no. 57, pp. 107–116. (in Russian)

Danilov-Danil'yan V.I. Globalnye klimaticheskie izmeneniya i vodnye problemy Rossii i mira [Global climate change and water problems in Russia and the world]. Vek globalizatsii [Age of globalization], 2020, vol. 4, no. 36, pp. 65-78. (in Russian)

Dmitriev V.V., Ogurtsov A.N. Podkhody k integralnoi otsenke i GIS-kartografirovaniyu ustoichivosti i ekologicheskogo blagopoluchiya geosistem. I. Inte-gral'naya otsenka ustoichivosti nazemnykh i vodnykh geosystem [Approaches to integral assessment and GIS mapping of sustainability and environmental well-being of geosystems. I. Integral assessment of the stability of terrestrial and aquatic geosystems]. Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Seriya 7, Geologiya. Geografiya [Vestnik of Saint-Petersburg University. Earth Sciences], 2012, vol. 3, pp. 65-78. (in Russian)

Isachenko A.G. Landshafty Rossii: ekologicheskii potentsial i ustoichivost' k antropogennym vozdeistviyam [Landscapes of Russia: ecological potential and resistance to anthropogenic impacts]. Informatsionnyi byulleten RFFI [RFBR Newsletter], 1996, vol. 14, 87 p. (in Russian)

Kesoretskikh I.I. Otsenka prostranstvennoi i vremennoi izmenchivosti pokazatelya uyazvimosti landshaftov Kaliningradskoi oblasti kak komponent ekologicheski orientirovannogo territorialnogo planirovaniya [Assessment of spatial and temporal variability of the landscape vulnerability indicator of the Kaliningrad region as a component of environmentally oriented territorial planning]. Baltiiskii region [Baltic region], 2015, vol. 4, no. 26, pp. 162-180. https://doi.org/10.5922/2074-9848-2015-4-10. (in Russian).

Krasnoyarova B.A. Territorialnaya organizatsiya agrarnogo prirodopol'zovaniya Altaiskogo kraya [Territorial organization of agrarian environmental management of the Altai Krai]. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1999, 161 p. (in Russian).

Semenov Yu.M., Shitov A.V., Klimova O.V., Merdesheva E.V. Landshaftnoe planirovanie kak baza ustoichivogo sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya i sokhraneniya ekosistem Altaya [Landscape planning as the basis for sustainable socio-economic development and conservation of Altai ecosystems]. Tendentsii prostranstvennogo razvitiya sovremennoi Rossii i prioritety ego regulirovaniya [Trends in spatial development of modern Russia and priorities for its regulation]. Materials of the International Scientific Conference (13ed Annual Scientific Assembly ARGO. Tyumen, TyumGU-Press, 2022, pp. 475-482. (in Russian)

Malashevich E.V. Kratkii slovar-spravochnik po okhrane prirody [Brief dictionary-reference book on nature conservation]. Minsk, 1987, 223 p. (in Russian)

Mirzekhanova Z.G. Metodika rascheta potentsialnoi prirodnoi uyazvimosti territorii [Methodology for calculating the potential natural vulnerability of a territory]. Khabarovsk, El'ta Publ., 1993, 49 p. (in Russian)

Baburin V.L., Badina S.V., Goryachko M.D. et al. Otsenka uyazvimosti sotsial'noekonomicheskogo razvitiya arkticheskoi territorii Rossii [Assessment of the vulnerability of socioeconomic development of the Russian Arctic territory]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya [Moscow University Bulletin. Series 5, Geography]. 2016, vol. 6, pp. 71-77. (in Russian)

Mikheeva A.S., Ayusheeva S.N., Bardakhanova T.B. et al. Otsenka ekologo-ekonomicheskoi ustoichivosti territorialnykh prirodno-khozyaistvennykh sistem [Assessment of the ecological and economic sustainability of territorial natural and economic systems]. Moskovskii ekonomicheskii zhurnal [Moscow economic journal], 2022, vol. 9. Available at: https://qje.su/rekreacia-iturizm/moskovskij-ekonomicheskij-zhurnal-9-2022-44/ (in Russian)

Krasnoyarova B.A., Platonova S.G., Sharabarina S.N. et al. Prirodno-khozyaistvennoe raionirovanie Zapadnoi Sibiri [Natural and economic zoning of Western Siberia]. Geograficheskii vestnik [Geographical Bulletin], 2018, vol. 1, no. 44, pp. 64–72. (in Russian).

Tretii otsenochnyi doklad ob izmeneniyakh klimata i ikh posledstviyakh na territorii Rossiiskoi Federatsii. Obshchee rezyume [Third assessment report on climate change and its consequences on the Russian Federation territory. General summary]. St. Petersburg, Naukoemkie tekhnologii Publ., 2022, 124 p. (in Russian)

Tsimbalei Yu.M. Landshaftnaya karta Altaiskogo kraya. Masshtab 1:500000 [Landscape map of the Altai Krai. Scale 1:500000]. Ed. by L.F. Lubenets, S.V. Tsilikina, N.Yu. Kurepina, Yu.I. Vinokurov. Barnaul, IVEP SB RAS, 2016. (in Russian)

Advancing Sustainability of U.S.-Mexico Transboundary Drylands: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC, The National Academies Press, 2019. 72 р. https://doi.org/10.17226/25253

Petrescu-Mag R.M., Petrescu D.C., Azadi H., Petrescu-Mag I.V. Agricultural land use conflict management – Vulnerabilities, law restrictions and negotiation frames. A wake-up call. Land Use Policy, 2018, vol. 76, pp. 600–610. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.02.040

Kok M., Lüdeke M., Lucas P. et al. A New Method for Analysing Socio-Ecological Patterns of Vulnerability. Regional Environmental Change, 2016, vol. 16, pp. 229–243. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014- 0746-1

Berry P.M., Rounsevell M.D.A., Harrison P.A., Audsley E. Assessing the vulnerability of agricultural land use and species to climate change and the role of policy in facilitating adaptation. Environmental Science & Policy, 2006, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 189–204. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2005.11.004

Ling Z., Shu L., Wang D. et al. Assessment and projection of the groundwater drought vulnerability under different climate scenarios and land use changes in the Sanjiang Plain, China. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 2023, vol. 49, 101498. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101498

Climate Change and Land: an IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems. IPCC, 2019, 864 р.

IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, 3056 p. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844

Global Land Indicators Initiative, GLII. Available at: https://gltn.net/global-land-indicatorsinitiative-glii/(date of access: 10.02.2024)

Marshall G.R., Stafford Smith D.M. Natural resources governance for the drylands of the Murray-Darling Basin. Rangeland Journal, 2010, vol. 32, pp. 267–282. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ10020

Serkendiz H., Tatli H., Özcan H., Çetin M., Sungur A. Multidimensional assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability based on socioeconomic and biophysical indicators. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2023, vol. 98, 104121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104121

Nelitz M., Boardley S., Smith R. Tools for Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments for Watersheds. Report. Vancouver, ESSA Technologies Ltd, 2013, 135 p.

Nowak A., Schneider C. Environmental characteristics, agricultural land use, and vulnerability to degradation in Malopolska Province (Poland). Science of The Total Environment, 2017, vol. 590– 591, pp. 620-632. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.006

Rodriguez D., de Voil P., Power B. Modelling Dryland Agricultural Systems. Farooq M., Siddique K. (eds.) Innovations in Dryland Agriculture. Springer, Cham, 2016, pp. 239-256. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47928-6_9

Fitton N., Alexander P., Arnell N. [et al.]. The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity. Global Environmental Change, 2019, vol. 58, 101944. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101944

Bizikova L., Habtezion Z., Bellali J. et al. Vulnerability and Climate Change Impact Assessments for Adaptation. Nairobi, Kenya: United Nations Environment Programme, 2009. Available at: https://www.unep.org/resources/report/vulnerability-and-climate-change-impact-assessmentsadaptation-module (date of access: 14.02.2024)